Smartgroup Corporation (ASX: SIQ) – Smartgroup at Macquarie Australia Conference

Henry Fung

Henry is a co-founder of MF & Co. Asset Management with over 20 years in financial services as a trader and investor, including the past 10 years advising clients and building quantitative trading systems. Henry also maintains a high conviction list of 5 stocks that you can get for free and has a free 5-day course on how professionals use quantitative strategies to find an edge. The concepts in the course are applied in the Quantitative Leveraged ETF L/S Strategy.
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May 6, 2026

Smartgroup Corporation Ltd delivered a record first quarter to 2026, with average monthly revenue growing 8 percent compared to the prior year period. The standout metric, however, was novated leasing orders excluding refinanced vehicles, which surged 22 percent year on year, significantly outpacing the 7 percent growth in total leasing settlements. This divergence suggests a healthy pipeline for future settlements and points to sustained demand for the company’s core employee benefits offering.

The company’s electric vehicle exposure is well positioned within the current policy environment. In Q1 2026, 80 percent of battery electric vehicle new-vehicle orders were priced below $75,000, with 88 percent falling below $80,000. This pricing profile aligns with the government’s reaffirm commitment to the Electric Car Discount Policy, which CEO Scott Wharton noted has been instrumental in enabling public sector workers and not-for-profit employees to transition to cleaner vehicles. The policy certainty provides manufacturers and charging infrastructure providers with confidence to invest, potentially creating additional tailwinds for Smartgroup’s fleet business.

Strategic execution during the quarter included the launch of Smartgroup’s new mobile application as part of its digital transformation roadmap. The company also continues applying automation and artificial intelligence to enhance service delivery and operational efficiency. These investments in technology are critical for a business competing in an increasingly digital customer environment, and they support the company’s shift toward a more scalable, capital-light operating model. Management retained all significant clients during the period while securing new customers, a positive signal given the competitive landscape.

Smartgroup’s forward guidance suggests management confidence in business fundamentals despite acknowledged macroeconomic headwinds. The company is targeting EBITDA margins in the mid-40s during 2027, up from implied margins in the early-40s range based on recent performance. This target assumes disciplined execution and the benefits of technology investments and automation initiatives beginning to materialise. Capital expenditure is flagged at $11-13 million for 2026, consistent with prior guidance and reflecting the capital-light nature of the platform strategy.

Investors should monitor whether novated leasing orders convert to settlements at historical rates and track the progression toward 2027 margin targets. The company will also need to navigate broader economic uncertainty stemming from inflation, interest rates, and consumer confidence. Smartgroup’s business model, which benefits from strong demand for employee benefits and fleet solutions, appears resilient, but execution on digital initiatives and margin expansion will be key catalysts to watch through the remainder of the year. This announcement is price sensitive and has been flagged as material by the ASX.

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View the full ASX announcement (PDF)

About Smartgroup Corporation Ltd (ASX: SIQ)

Smartgroup Corporation is an Australian company that provides employee management services including salary packaging, novated leasing, vehicle fleet management, and payroll administration. The company operates three main segments covering outsourced administration, vehicle services, and software solutions. Headquartered in Sydney, it serves employers and employees across Australia.

If you would like to discuss this announcement or how it might affect your portfolio, request a callback or call us on 1300 889 603.

This is general advice only. MF & Co Asset Management has not considered your personal financial needs, objectives or current situation. This information is not an offer, solicitation, or a recommendation for any financial product unless expressly stated. You should seek professional investment advice before making any investment decision.

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