Skycity Entertainment Group (ASX: SKC) – FY26 Guidance Update and Asset Monetisation Plan

Henry Fung

Henry is a co-founder of MF & Co. Asset Management with over 20 years in financial services as a trader and investor, including the past 10 years advising clients and building quantitative trading systems. Henry also maintains a high conviction list of 5 stocks that you can get for free and has a free 5-day course on how professionals use quantitative strategies to find an edge. The concepts in the course are applied in the Quantitative Leveraged ETF L/S Strategy.
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May 1, 2026

SkyCity Entertainment Group has upgraded its FY26 earnings guidance despite deteriorating macroeconomic conditions across New Zealand and Australia, signalling that aggressive cost management is more than offsetting headwinds from reduced consumer discretionary spending. The company now expects underlying EBITDA between $190 million and $210 million, up from previous guidance of $180 million to $210 million, with reported EBITDA forecast between $165 million and $190.6 million compared to the prior range of $155 million to $190.6 million.

The upgrade reflects SkyCity’s disciplined response to weaker trading conditions. The company has already exceeded its $10 million cost savings target for the year and is now implementing additional cost reduction measures across its operations and corporate functions. This approach is particularly noteworthy given that Auckland and Adelaide locations have experienced the most pronounced impact from rising fuel prices and consumer caution, while Hamilton, Queenstown and the New Zealand International Convention Centre have yet to see significant negative effects. The fact that management can still raise guidance in this environment demonstrates confidence in cost control capabilities, though the company acknowledges significant uncertainty around the breadth and duration of current macroeconomic pressures, noting that further deterioration could affect the guidance ranges.

On the asset monetisation front, SkyCity has entered into non-binding heads of agreement for the sale of the 99 Albert Street office building together with investment properties on Victoria Street. The transaction is subject to customary conditions including due diligence completion and negotiation of final documentation, with financial terms remaining confidential at this stage. The company is also actively seeking expressions of interest for The Grand Hotel as part of its ongoing asset monetisation programme, with decisions on sales guided by strategic alignment, value realisation, transaction sequencing and relevant dependencies.

Regulatory progress on online gaming provides another layer to the outlook. The Online Casino Gambling Act 2026 comes into effect from 1 May 2026, with the Department of Internal Affairs anticipated to begin issuing licences from early 2027 onwards. This creates both opportunity and timing uncertainty for SkyCity’s digital gaming operations in the coming period.

For investors, the key takeaway is that SkyCity is navigating near-term macro headwinds more effectively than the trading environment might suggest, with cost discipline offsetting volume pressures. The asset monetisation programme provides additional balance sheet flexibility and value realisation opportunities, though timing and pricing on key properties remain fluid pending market engagement. The company will need to demonstrate that cost savings can be sustained while rebuilding consumer traffic as macroeconomic conditions normalise. This announcement has been classified as price sensitive and flagged as material by the ASX.

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View the full ASX announcement (PDF)

About Skycity Entertainment Group Limited (ASX: SKC)

Skycity Entertainment Group Limited operates casinos, hotels, convention facilities, and entertainment venues across New Zealand and Australia. The company’s primary operations include SkyCity Auckland, SkyCity Adelaide, and smaller casinos in Hamilton and Queenstown, as well as an online gaming platform. Its business spans gaming, hospitality, food and beverage, and tourism-related services.

If you would like to discuss this announcement or how it might affect your portfolio, request a callback or call us on 1300 889 603.

This is general advice only. MF & Co Asset Management has not considered your personal financial needs, objectives or current situation. This information is not an offer, solicitation, or a recommendation for any financial product unless expressly stated. You should seek professional investment advice before making any investment decision.

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