Dicker Data (ASX: DDR) – H1 FY26 Results and Guidance Update

Henry Fung

Henry is a co-founder of MF & Co. Asset Management with over 20 years in financial services as a trader and investor, including the past 10 years advising clients and building quantitative trading systems. Henry also maintains a high conviction list of 5 stocks that you can get for free and has a free 5-day course on how professionals use quantitative strategies to find an edge. The concepts in the course are applied in the Quantitative Leveraged ETF L/S Strategy.
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August 28, 2026

Dicker Data delivered a materially stronger first half result than the broader technology distribution sector, with gross revenue reaching $2,100.9 million and growing 14.2% compared to the prior corresponding period, significantly outpacing Gartner’s forecasted industry growth of 8.9% for 2026. The Australian distributor’s ability to exceed market expectations comes at a time when sector conditions remain mixed across Australia and New Zealand, signalling both strong execution and favourable exposure to structural growth drivers that are differentiating the company from peers.

The real story sits in the company’s profitability metrics, which grew faster than revenue itself. Net profit after tax climbed 54.1% to $60.7 million while net operating profit before tax surged 50.1% to $86.4 million, indicating meaningfully improved operational leverage and pricing discipline. Gross profit margin expanded 70 basis points to 9.8%, helped by strategic purchasing decisions and a more favourable product mix. These improvements suggest the company is not simply chasing volume but rather optimising its mix of lower-margin hardware and higher-margin services and software, demonstrating disciplined capital allocation.

The software and recurring revenue segment points to the underlying shift in the distribution model. Recurring gross software sales reached $600 million, growing 20.7% compared to the prior corresponding period. This segment typically carries better margins and more predictable revenue streams compared to point-in-time hardware sales, providing a natural hedge against commodity price cycles. EBITDA growth of 37.3% to $103.5 million reflects the compounding effect of both top-line growth and operational deleveraging, a dynamic that should continue if the mix shift accelerates.

Several tailwinds underpinned the first half performance. Device refresh cycles, particularly around AI-enabled personal computers, created surge demand across Dicker’s core business. Simultaneous growth in AI infrastructure deployments and data centre modernisation activity provided incremental opportunities, while enterprise networking remained robust. These represent both cyclical benefits from hardware refreshes and structural trends that could persist as enterprises embed artificial intelligence capabilities more deeply into operations and IT infrastructure.

The company’s FY26 guidance of $4.3 billion to $4.4 billion in gross revenue, representing 11% to 14% growth, suggests management believes the first half momentum remains intact, albeit with some moderation expected in the second half. The projected profit before tax guidance of $162 million to $165 million implies a PBT margin around 3.8%, slightly below the first half result but consistent with normal seasonal patterns. Investors should monitor whether the company can sustain margins through the second half, given the typically lower demand in winter months and potential inventory normalisation as refresh cycles mature. The ability to maintain leverage through a normalisation period would be the key test for investors.

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The announcement is price sensitive and has been flagged as material by the ASX.

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About Dicker Data Limited (ASX: DDR)

Dicker Data Limited is a wholesale distributor of IT hardware, software, cloud, and IoT solutions for corporate and commercial markets in Australia and New Zealand. Founded in 1978 and headquartered in Kurnell, Australia, the company represents all major technology vendors and provides tailored information technology solutions to businesses across the region.

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This is general advice only. MF & Co Asset Management has not considered your personal financial needs, objectives or current situation. This information is not an offer, solicitation, or a recommendation for any financial product unless expressly stated. You should seek professional investment advice before making any investment decision.

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MF & Co. Asset Management is a boutique investment firm offering Equity Capital Markets and derivative general advice & trade execution services.

We are specialists in advising and trading in Australian and US Equities, Index & Equity Options and Options on Futures.

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