Origin Energy (ASX: ORG) – Full Year 2026 Results Report

Henry Fung

Henry is a co-founder of MF & Co. Asset Management with over 20 years in financial services as a trader and investor, including the past 10 years advising clients and building quantitative trading systems. Henry also maintains a high conviction list of 5 stocks that you can get for free and has a free 5-day course on how professionals use quantitative strategies to find an edge. The concepts in the course are applied in the Quantitative Leveraged ETF L/S Strategy.


August 13, 2026

Origin Energy (ASX: ORG)View stock profile →

Origin Energy has delivered stronger cash generation than profit metrics alone suggest, with adjusted free cash flow reaching $2,074 million, a substantial increase from $1,207 million in the prior year. While statutory profit rose modestly to $1,574 million and underlying profit declined to $1,159 million from $1,490 million, the cash performance underscores the company’s ability to navigate a transition in its earnings mix and continue rewarding shareholders through a fully franked 60 cents per share dividend for FY26.

The gap between profit and cash flow tells an important story about Origin’s operational realities. Underlying profit fell primarily due to lower realised oil prices and reduced LNG trading gains in the Integrated Gas division, a commodity-linked headwind that was always expected. Underlying EBITDA declined to $3,220 million from $3,411 million, but improvements in Energy Markets and Octopus Energy partially offset this decline. The stronger cash position reflects disciplined working capital management and lower tax paid, demonstrating the company’s focus on cash conversion over accounting earnings.

At 1.6 times adjusted net debt to underlying EBITDA, Origin maintains a healthy balance sheet that supports both capital investment and shareholder returns. The fully franked final dividend of 30 cents per share brings total FY26 distributions to 60 cents, allowing the company to balance growth investment with consistent income to shareholders. This capital discipline matters particularly as Origin navigates the energy transition, where balance sheet strength enables continued investment in new competitive priorities.

Growth initiatives show genuine momentum despite commodity headwinds. Retail operations added 243,000 customer accounts and kept cost-to-serve within targeted ranges, evidence that the household customer strategy is working. Battery capacity reached 1.3 gigawatts and 4.1 gigawatt-hours of operational capacity from a 1.8 gigawatt development program, positioning Origin in flexible generation as renewable energy penetration increases. Octopus Energy expanded by 2.2 million customer accounts to 19 million, and Kraken Technologies completed a separate US$1 billion equity raise in July at an US$8.65 billion valuation, signalling strong third-party validation for that business.

The company now serves 4.94 million customer accounts and is layering innovative products such as EV Power Up, which shifts energy consumption to optimal periods, alongside its Loop virtual power plant platform. These initiatives reflect Origin’s strategic bet that the energy sector is moving beyond commodity generation toward integrated solutions combining generation, storage, batteries, solar, electric vehicles and demand management services.

Our Exclusive Top 5 Stock Picks

Five high conviction stocks that didn't make the public list. Backed by institutional research with significant upside potential. Subscribe for free access.

Invalid email address
By subscribing, you consent to receive communications from us. You can unsubscribe at any time.

Investors should track progress on battery development completion within the 1.8 gigawatt program, cost trends in the retail segment as competitive intensity persists, and Integrated Gas pricing recovery alongside LNG market dynamics. The separation and equity raise of Kraken Technologies also represent a potential exit pathway that could unlock value previously held within Origin’s corporate structure. This announcement is price sensitive and has been flagged as material to the ASX.

View the full ASX announcement (PDF)

About Origin Energy Ltd (ASX: ORG)

Origin Energy is a major integrated energy company operating across Australia’s electricity and natural gas markets. It generates electricity from multiple sources including coal, natural gas, hydro, and solar, while retailing electricity and natural gas to approximately 4.2 million customers. The company also engages in natural gas exploration and production and offers complementary services including solar systems, EV charging, and broadband.

If you would like to discuss this announcement or how it might affect your portfolio, request a callback or call us on 1300 889 603.

This is general advice only. MF & Co Asset Management has not considered your personal financial needs, objectives or current situation. This information is not an offer, solicitation, or a recommendation for any financial product unless expressly stated. You should seek professional investment advice before making any investment decision.

You May Also Like…

Subscribe

Want more Free Research?

Subscribe today for free and get an alert when we have new research and webinars.

Invalid email address
We promise not to spam you. You can unsubscribe at any time.

MF & Co. Asset Management

MF & Co. Asset Management is a boutique investment firm offering Equity Capital Markets and derivative general advice & trade execution services.

We are specialists in advising and trading in Australian and US Equities, Index & Equity Options and Options on Futures.

Contact

Get In Touch

Australia
1300 889 603
International
+61 2 8378 7199
M-F: 8am-5pm

Suite 803, Level 8
70 Pitt St, Sydney, NSW 2000

 

Share This