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ASX Stock Research
[BUY] Breville Group (ASX: BRG) – The Coffee Fear Is Priced In, The Margin Recovery Is Not
Breville Group (ASX: BRG) at A$31.05, on about 29x FY27 earnings and near its own ten-year average while peers re-rate. Buy, about 22% upside.
[BUY] BlueScope Steel (ASX: BSL) – Capex Peaks and Cash Flow Inflects
BlueScope Steel (ASX: BSL) at A$32.00, on 6x forward EBITDA against steel peers near 7x. Capex has peaked and free cash flow inflects. Buy, about 18% upside.
[BUY] Aristocrat Leisure (ASX: ALL) – A Billion-Dollar Interactive Path
Aristocrat Leisure (ASX: ALL) at A$61.40, charting a path to US$1bn in Interactive revenue by FY29 as iGaming and iLotteries scale. Buy, around 14% upside.
[BUY] Aristocrat Leisure (ASX: ALL) – A Billion-Dollar Interactive Path
Aristocrat Leisure (ASX: ALL) at A$61.40, charting a path to US$1bn in Interactive revenue by FY29 as iGaming and iLotteries scale. Buy, around 14% upside.
[BUY] Worley (ASX: WOR) – Selloff Overshoots the Earnings Trim
Worley (ASX: WOR) at A$10.94, around 10x forward EV/EBIT after an overdone selloff. The earnings trim is modest, the growth case intact. Buy, about 35% upside.
Global Macro and Market Research
The Australian Consumer Was Already Last in the G10 on Spending. The RBA Hiked Anyway.
The G10 consumer dashboard puts Australian household spending growth dead last in the developed-market cohort. Tuesday’s RBA hike to 4.35 percent continues the squeeze. What that means for a domestic portfolio.
The Q1 CPI Was Mixed. The RBA Still Has to Hike on Tuesday.
The Reserve Bank Board meets on Monday and Tuesday next week with a rate decision at 2:30pm AEST on Tuesday. This is the most anticipated single-meeting call we have had in nine months. The case rests on a Q1 CPI print released on Wednesday that did two things at...
Why the Iran Oil Shock Points to More RBA Hikes, Not Fewer
The default narrative around the Iran conflict and the oil spike that has followed it is that it is bad news, full stop. Higher energy costs feed into inflation, dent consumer spending, and put pressure on central banks to either hold tight or cut rates to cushion the...
Global Stock Research
[BUY] MongoDB (MDB): The AI Data Layer Play With a Clear Path to $4bn Revenue
MongoDB (MDB) is rated a Buy with a US$360 price target, implying 8 per cent upside. The thesis rests on Atlas cloud consumption growth, an AI-native product strategy, and an earnings trajectory that compresses the P/E from 55x to 36x by FY29.
[BUY] Upwork (NASDAQ: UPWK) – Restructuring Sharpens the Margin Story
Upwork delivered a Q1'26 result that landed on the right side of a bifurcated narrative. Revenues came in around the midpoint of guidance at $195mn, while Adj. EBITDA of $57mn came in nearly 24% above consensus expectations, with the margin beat tracing back to a cost...
[BUY] Eli Lilly (LLY): Foundayo Reframes the Oral GLP-1 Story
LLY Buy with ~37% upside to ~US$1,283. 1Q26 EPS US$8.55 beat US$6.77, 2026 guide raised to US$82-85bn. Foundayo oral GLP-1 hits 8k prescribers in 3 weeks, 80% new incretin patients.
[BUY] Eli Lilly (LLY): Foundayo Reframes the Oral GLP-1 Story
LLY Buy with ~37% upside to ~US$1,283. 1Q26 EPS US$8.55 beat US$6.77, 2026 guide raised to US$82-85bn. Foundayo oral GLP-1 hits 8k prescribers in 3 weeks, 80% new incretin patients.
[HOLD] Tesla (NASDAQ: TSLA) A Strong Q1 But No Free Cash Flow Until 2028
Tesla (NASDAQ: TSLA) A Strong Q1 But No Free Cash Flow Until 2028 Tesla just delivered a first quarter result that was stronger than the market expected, with revenue beating the...
Region & Industry Outlook
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ASX Announcement
JB Hi-Fi (ASX: JBH) – JB Hi-Fi 2026 Annual Report
JB Hi-Fi Limited delivered record sales of $11.06 billion in FY2026, marking solid growth in what the company describes as an uncertain retail environment. Net profit after tax reached $489.9 million, earnings per share climbed to 448.1 cents, and the company...
GrainCorp (ASX: GNC) – GrainCorp reconfirms FY26 guidance transformation plan
GrainCorp has delivered better-than-expected early returns from its Business Transformation Program, confirming that the initiative is on track to generate $12 million in annual run-rate benefits by the end of FY26, exceeding the top end of its previous commitment....
Genesis Energy (ASX: GNE) – Files Notice of Share Acquisition
Genesis Energy Limited has announced plans to acquire up to 143,881 ordinary shares through the NZX order matching market between September 16 and September 30, 2026. The purchase is a straightforward execution of obligations arising from the vesting of the company's...
Genesis Energy (ASX: GNE) – Files Notice of Share Acquisition
Genesis Energy Limited has announced plans to acquire up to 143,881 ordinary shares through the NZX order matching market between September 16 and September 30, 2026. The...
Nine Entertainment Co. Holdings (ASX: NEC) – Nine Extends Premier League Rights Agreement
Nine Entertainment has secured a six-year extension of its Premier League broadcast and streaming rights through the 2033-34 season, representing a significant vote of confidence...
Top Stock Reports
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MF & Co. Asset Management
MF & Co. Asset Management is a boutique investment firm offering Equity Capital Markets and derivative general advice & trade execution services.
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